In a country with nothing to celebrate, Kirchnerism celebrates the internal policy /owners
That predictable was nothing to celebrate.As soon as the end of the year passed with the desire to leave behind 2021. While in other countries that suffered the passage of the coronavirus, the streets dressed in lights of all colors and citizens found reasons.Collective to celebrate, in Argentina the only realization of the arrival of Christmas and the New Year was due to the traditional greetings and wishes, the organization of family gatherings in search of the most economical menu and some sporadic image of Papa Noel.But there was no festive climate.
Summer and the feeling of the end of the pandemic together with the spirit of those who can vacation compose the crisis.But the street reflects the impact of poverty, unemployment rates- and black employment and inflation, in each block.Statistics are not needed to graph what many observe: the fury of the sale of used clothing that goes from the purchase / sale points in the Buenos Aires suburbs and in the city to the multiplication of the bell to ask for "some clothes."Or the geometric growth of cartoneros that parade one after another for the garbage containers.Not to mention the middle class sector that has not yet fallen into the poverty that saw its consumption pauperize, clinging to second brands and purchases in wholesale markets to cut basic expenses.
It is true that in 2021 the growth of the economy of more than 10% managed to recover the fall it suffered in 2020. But it did it with an inflation of almost 50%, which had been 36% in the year it was.releasedPandemia.Is it the same to grow with very high inflation than without it?That is why the price increase prevented the rebound to translate into an improvement in the quality of life or the productive sectors.Is it really convenient for the government to reduce inflation or is it an undercover way to increase more and adjust?
Paraphrasing Byung-Chul Han in his book "No-Things", "Our obsession is no longer things, but information and data.Now we produce and consume more information than things «.This global phenomenon causes here, for example, that the legislative elections and their result very favorable to the opposition are perceived and have been engulfed by other events that go in the opposite direction.As approval in the province of Buenos Aires so that mayors, councilors, who could not be re -elected in 2023;The same people who blocked that possibility, or of the same political force, together for the change, ended up going back.
The truth is the true electoral result that had to weigh on the Casa Rosada in relation to the November elections was not an advantage of 8 points of the opposition over united Peronism or the defeat of the front of all in its main bastion, the provincefrom Buenos Aires.The electoral catastrophe was that after half of the mandate of the duo Alberto Fernández-Cristina Kirchner, 7 out of 10 Argentines reject his management.
Of the seven presidents elected by popular vote after the return to democracy, three of them received the disapproval of society after the first two years of government and lost the first legislative elections they faced.Fernando de la Rua in 2001 with a defeat of almost 16 points of difference in favor of the PJ that later resulted in the 2001 crisis;Cristina Kirchner in 2009, which fell in just less than one point before a divided opposition in which the Civic and Social Center Agreement prevailed;And Alberto Fernández-Cristina Kirchner with Sergio Massa in 2021, before together for the change that took just over 8 points.
In the government there is coincidence that beyond the agreement with the International Monetary Fund, this has to be a different year for Alberto Fernández, the main concern being prices and inflation, and the need for it to fall.«The ball is owned by the ruling.Today we can recover a certain capacity for dialogue with people and the challenge is how to recreate expectation. ”An official is excited.
The increase in infections does not arise as a concern in cabinet conversations or with governors and mayors.
However, the internal is part of the problem of the ruling party.Because it is not in any way settled that there are those who swear that the dialogue between Alberto and Cristina has improved a lot and that the discussion for the integration of the cabinet, which imploded after the step, “is settled and is a year in which it does notThere must be great conflicts ».
"Alberto is calmer and confident, and has the key to being the reelected candidate in 2023. And the governors agree that he can go to re -election," says a minister.Obviously this excites Albertismo that was born on November 14, but not to La Cámpora or the Patria Institute.
Cristina Kirchner's voice in the National Cabinet, Eduardo "Wado" of Pedro, said Clarín that it is not time to speculate on candidacies or on the 2023 elections. He also considers that the media have "the power to damage or boycottimportant agreements ».Perhaps that is why, he left the contradictions aside and used them to resign after the passage and, by order of Cristina, and thus press the president to make changes in his cabinet.
But despite this strong conviction about the media, in the last times of Pedro he has considerably uploaded his profile on social networks with their respective media coverage.It is practically impossible for the official to carry out these movements without an explicit request from Cristina.Will it be to counteract the reelectionist illusion of Alberto or Juan Manzur?
The new leadership of the Minister of Interior also coincides with a fine reading that has been replicated in the offices of the Casa Rosada: "Alberto remains the one that measures the most in the front of all."
Given this, the possibility of a Christian presidential project around the figure of Axel Kicillof or Máximo Kirchner himself was practically buried.Today, Cristina is not enough with the specific weight of her figure to decide to run in 2023 and she does not have a candidate for her kidney.Unless you want to bet on Sergio Massa.
That is why it is not illogical for the vice president to get other leaders such as Pedro to go up to the ring, configuring them with a more central ideological script, to measure them;Or that Christianity transcends, although he then denies him, that Wado de Pedro can be one of the candidates.For now, a sample of weakness rather than strength.